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Leica Prices going up?


greg choong

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The US dollar is weak and it looks like it will remain that way for a very long time. That is not

all bad news. In our little town in the Midwest USA employment is so competitive that we

have a labor shortage - because so many businesses are working with European and

Canadian customers. Sales are booming. And one company even moved some manufacturing

from Canada to the USA in order to cut labor costs. It seems a bit ironic (to this old man)

that the USA could become a center for highly skilled, inexpensive labor.. compared to

certain European and Scandanavian centers.

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10% seems a bit too high for an exchange rate difference but is not unreasonable. Given that many currencies are pegged against US dollar and since dollar is weaker than usual it makes sense that some sellers are charging more in their domestic currency. Purchasing power parity implies that the prices of a product should be the same everywhere in the world once we account for inflation and exchange rates of the countries in question.
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The Euro isn't going to "rally upward" as it has no independent existence. It only exists in the context of Dollar, Yen, Yuan et al.

 

However, I think the dollar's going to sink Vs Euro due to Texas intellect etc.

 

The dollar is the benchmark, whereas the Euro is the currency of a set of Asian/American/Middle Eastern colonies.

 

Further, the Euro doesn't adequatey represent each Euro colony. Look for Germany to be an isolated drag on Euro Vs Dollar in Q1/2 due to labor difficulties.

 

Beyond that, I'd expect "Leica" prices overall to drop due to the draw of superior Asian craftsmanship (Panasonic et al) and 4/3.

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Mr.Rosen, Dollar Vs Euro, assuming European political stability, depends for the short term largely on the confidence the world has in one symbolic executive.

 

Later: Due to strengthening domestic economy, Yuan will inevitably de-link from the Dollar and China will stop propping up the US Bond market. US interest rates will have to go higher to keep Treasuries competitive: think consumer debt, variable rate mortgages, home ownership, personal bankruptcy, employment, family life etc. This is far bigger than the Fed.

 

Germany may be a drag on the Euro in Q1/Q2, which could help Leica continue M8 at current prices.

 

IMO of course.

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You really don't have a clue as to what affects the strength of one currecny relative to another. It is certainly not the opinion of the left about the intellect of the US President. Why don't you do some reading and get back to us with what you have learned rather than spouting your own silly opinions.
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Mr. Rosen and Mr. Kelly, will you please leave off the political/financial sniping and stay with Leica/rangefinder topics? I would be very grateful to you both if you can honor my request. In return, I promise to avoid both topics, and moreover, I will never write anything that suggests that anothe forum member is ignorant, etc.

 

Thank you very much, and may you both have a happy winter holiday season and a safe and healthy new year,

 

Joe Stephenson

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Mr. Step[henson,

 

Just to be clear, my sniping was in response for an uncalled for comment about the President;s intellect that was not only irrelevant to his point but also wrong. If someone else brings politics into these threads, I will comment. Just in case you didn't understand why I wrote those comments before coming in with yours.

 

Anyway, happy holidays to all and to all a good night. :-)

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